Чемпионат России по Dota 2 2022 · BO3
result vs predictionСЧСборная Челябинской областиloss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
X3win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Сборная Челябинской области
No games played over 6 months.
X3
Bane
Kidaro · 21 game
Dragon Knightsignature
Mastery · 10 games
Hoodwink
velheor · 10 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
DarkLord^ · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 7 games
Linaoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 7 games
Puckoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
473 picks · 628 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 505 bans
Bane
438 picks · 278 bans
Sand King
412 picks · 533 bans
Death Prophet
359 picks · 808 bans
Pangolier
344 picks · 520 bans
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 565 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 565 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Сборная Челябинской области
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% X3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteX3 · 55%
Series resultX3 1:2
Series predictioncorrect