Чемпионат России по Dota 2 2022 · BO3
result vs predictionСЧСборная Челябинской областиwin 1:0
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BBlasterblloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Сборная Челябинской области
No games played over 6 months.
Blasterbl
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
476 picks · 627 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 504 bans
Bane
441 picks · 279 bans
Sand King
411 picks · 532 bans
Death Prophet
361 picks · 805 bans
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 560 bans
Pangolier
343 picks · 520 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 562 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Сборная Челябинской области
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Blasterbl
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Сборная Челябинской области 40%Blasterbl 60%
The model gave 60% on Blasterbl — the game was taken by Сборная Челябинской области.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlasterbl · 60%
Series resultСборная Челябинской области 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1