ESL One Stockholm Dota Major 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Banesignature
tOfu · 23 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 19 games
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 19 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 19 games
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 18 games
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 17 games
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 15 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
474 picks · 631 bans
Tiny
452 picks · 499 bans
Bane
444 picks · 281 bans
Sand King
409 picks · 532 bans
Death Prophet
362 picks · 804 bans
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 557 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 558 bans
Pangolier
339 picks · 515 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:12
Gaimin Gladiators 63%beastcoast 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 30:33.
Game 2prediction correct27:19
Gaimin Gladiators 63%beastcoast 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 31:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 63%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2