Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs predictionCChekoldyriki2.0loss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chekoldyriki2.0
No games played over 6 months.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Hellscream · 7 games
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 633 bans
Bane
454 picks · 281 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 492 bans
Sand King
400 picks · 530 bans
Death Prophet
359 picks · 791 bans
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 546 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 555 bans
Pangolier
335 picks · 509 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:41
Chekoldyriki2.0 20%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 80%
The model gave 80% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 32:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 80%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1