Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
sQreen's Squadloss 0:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:1
ARCREDwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sQreen's Squad
No games played over 6 months.
ARCRED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
473 picks · 633 bans
Bane
454 picks · 287 bans
Tiny
440 picks · 491 bans
Sand King
399 picks · 528 bans
Death Prophet
361 picks · 789 bans
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 546 bans
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 554 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 506 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% sQreen's Squad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% ARCRED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteARCRED · 56%
Series resultARCRED 0:1
Series predictioncorrect