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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 1:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
X3loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
60%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
86%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Hellscream · 7 games
57%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
57%

X3

Bane
Bane
Kidaro · 21 game
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Mastery · 10 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
velheor · 10 games
30%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 8 games
38%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
DarkLord^ · 8 games
38%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 7 games
43%
Lina
Linaoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 7 games
29%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
473 picks · 631 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
451 picks · 290 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
438 picks · 490 bans
50%
Sand King
Sand King
398 picks · 529 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
363 picks · 788 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 554 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 548 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 506 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 47%
Hero pool strength61% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 68%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect