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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 1:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
60%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
86%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Hellscream · 7 games
57%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
57%

B8 Esports

Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 19 games
42%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Alexxo · 19 games
26%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
v1olent- · 13 games
31%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Dendi · 13 games
23%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 12 games
0%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Lagoona · 12 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 11 games
9%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
v1olent- · 11 games
27%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
472 picks · 628 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
450 picks · 291 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
436 picks · 489 bans
50%
Sand King
Sand King
397 picks · 527 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
362 picks · 785 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 555 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 544 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
332 picks · 504 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 20%
Hero pool strength67% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:29
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 81%B8 Esports 19%
The model gave 81% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 32:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 81%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1