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CCT Season 2 Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Shpilitloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 18 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 14 games
79%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 14 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 12 games
58%
Razor
Razorsignature
nesfeer · 11 games
82%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 11 games
73%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 11 games
55%

Team Shpilit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Solo · 3 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Kyzko · 3 games
100%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Solo · 3 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Zarich · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
zuyzyan · 2 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Kyzko · 2 games
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
zuyzyan · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
583 picks · 817 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
523 picks · 545 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
428 picks · 391 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
422 picks · 292 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
385 picks · 653 bans
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
385 picks · 1012 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
365 picks · 578 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
347 picks · 514 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:10
Power Rangers 72%Team Shpilit 28%
The model gave 72% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 33:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunanesfeer
52% · 52 games49% · 268 games
Storm SpiritAinkrad
Storm Spirit
Slardar
Slardarnicky`cool
50% · 208 games49% · 192 games
Windrangerzuyzyan
Windranger
Mars
MarsAlberkaaa
46% · 310 games44% · 206 games
BatriderZarich
Batrider
Phoenix
PhoenixImmersion
45% · 159 games52% · 68 games
UndyingSolo
Undying
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorHduo
62% · 76 games55% · 71 game
Nyx AssassinKyzko
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct30:12
Power Rangers 71%Team Shpilit 29%
The model gave 71% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 24:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunanesfeer
45% · 71 game50% · 238 games
Shadow Fiendzuyzyan
Shadow Fiend
Tiny
Tinynicky`cool
49% · 428 games51% · 281 game
SlardarZarich
Slardar
Batrider
BatriderAlberkaaa
52% · 295 games45% · 193 games
LeshracAinkrad
Leshrac
Hoodwink
HoodwinkImmersion
49% · 296 games48% · 398 games
WarlockSolo
Warlock
Dazzle
DazzleHduo
54% · 115 games59% · 95 games
Nyx AssassinKyzko
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 87%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2