ESL One Stockholm Dota Major 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
T1loss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Bane
Bignum · 12 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 12 games
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
fn · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
465 picks · 627 bans
Bane
448 picks · 289 bans
Tiny
434 picks · 487 bans
Sand King
396 picks · 525 bans
Death Prophet
360 picks · 783 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 547 bans
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 537 bans
Pangolier
328 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 67%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:12
T1 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:21.
Game 2prediction correct38:27
T1 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2