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ESL One Stockholm Dota Major 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Evil Geniusesloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Evil Geniuses

Bane
Banesignature
Wij · 7 games
71%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
Hyko · 7 games
86%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Hyko · 6 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 6 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Parker · 5 games
40%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Parker · 4 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Parker · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Wij · 4 games
0%

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Bane
Bignum · 12 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 12 games
42%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
82%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
fn · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
463 picks · 624 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
449 picks · 288 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 487 bans
50%
Sand King
Sand King
396 picks · 525 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
359 picks · 782 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 544 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
339 picks · 533 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 497 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 64%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:12
Evil Geniuses 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:24.
Game 2prediction correct36:14
Evil Geniuses 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 52%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2