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CCT Season 2 Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Lynxloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 36 games
53%
Warlock
Warlock
Rein · 31 game
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 30 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
41%
Tusk
Tusk
swedenstrong · 29 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 28 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Munkushi~ · 25 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Rein · 24 games
50%

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 27 games
63%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 18 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 17 games
65%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 15 games
60%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 15 games
40%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 14 games
36%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 14 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
582 picks · 816 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 543 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
427 picks · 390 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
421 picks · 291 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
385 picks · 648 bans
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
383 picks · 1009 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
365 picks · 577 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
345 picks · 516 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:36
1w Team 61%Team Lynx 39%
The model gave 61% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 1:01:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusav1olent-
57% · 185 games50% · 250 games
Templar Assassin7jesu
Templar Assassin
Huskar
HuskarSquad1x
51% · 73 games47% · 370 games
Puckmellojul
Puck
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonswedenstrong
53% · 284 games49% · 166 games
DoomVladikTheHtiviy
Doom
Tidehunter
Tidehunterмистер мораль
53% · 135 games43% · 224 games
Phoenixkreker
Phoenix
Jakiro
JakiroRein
48% · 407 games49% · 74 games
LionQBFY
Lion
Game 2prediction correct23:36
1w Team 61%Team Lynx 39%
The model gave 61% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 1:02:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerSquad1x
52% · 87 games51% · 138 games
Medusa7jesu
Medusa
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinv1olent-
53% · 177 games43% · 148 games
Void Spiritmellojul
Void Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark Seerмистер мораль
52% · 128 games52% · 121 game
TidehunterVladikTheHtiviy
Tidehunter
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinswedenstrong
52% · 48 games50% · 106 games
Phoenixkreker
Phoenix
Pugna
PugnaRein
46% · 145 games49% · 72 games
LionQBFY
Lion
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 69%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2