BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutloss 0:2series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Cut
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 11 games
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
Techies
bgod · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
Infamous
Marssignature
Mariano · 7 games
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 7 games
Banesignature
Prada · 6 games
Snapfiresignature
Pamplona · 6 games
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 6 games
Mirana
Pamplona · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 281 bans
Mars
455 picks · 625 bans
Tiny
421 picks · 482 bans
Sand King
389 picks · 515 bans
Death Prophet
362 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 538 bans
Storm Spirit
334 picks · 513 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 485 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)19% vs 47%
Hero pool strength63% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total81% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:45
The Cut 19%Infamous 81%
The model gave 81% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 23:23.
Game 2prediction correct
The Cut 19%Infamous 81%
The model gave 81% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 81%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2