Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO5
result vs prediction
Bramewin 3:1series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 3:1
Gambit Esportsloss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Wraith Kingoften banned
Nefrit · 18 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
SkyLark · 17 games
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 14 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
Viperoften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
Gambit Esports
Bane
Panto · 2 games
Clockwerk
sayuw · 2 games
Mirana
sayuw · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Juggernaut
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 278 bans
Mars
450 picks · 625 bans
Tiny
421 picks · 482 bans
Sand King
389 picks · 510 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 539 bans
Storm Spirit
330 picks · 511 bans
Pangolier
322 picks · 483 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 71%
Hero pool strength53% Brame
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:26
Brame 35%Gambit Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 32:30.
Game 2prediction missed42:15
Brame 35%Gambit Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Brame in 46:51.
Game 3prediction missed22:9
Brame 35%Gambit Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Brame in 32:48.
Game 4prediction missed37:21
Brame 35%Gambit Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Brame in 37:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 65%
Series resultBrame 3:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4