Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CHILLAXloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
Bane
Panto · 2 games
Clockwerk
sayuw · 2 games
Mirana
sayuw · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Juggernaut
Smiling Knight · 1 game
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 280 bans
Mars
450 picks · 617 bans
Tiny
415 picks · 480 bans
Sand King
384 picks · 499 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 782 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 531 bans
Storm Spirit
323 picks · 504 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 474 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% CHILLAX
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total70% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed50:27
Gambit Esports 70%CHILLAX 30%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 50:11.
Game 2prediction missed12:30
Gambit Esports 70%CHILLAX 30%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 25:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 70%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2