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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Sorrywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
78%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 8 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
86%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
57%
Mars
Marssignature
Corrupted · 6 games
67%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 18 games
44%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
layme · 18 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 17 games
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 15 games
47%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 15 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Worick · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
455 picks · 278 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
447 picks · 614 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 480 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
380 picks · 499 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
363 picks · 781 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 526 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
323 picks · 500 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
320 picks · 471 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 55%
Hero pool strength60% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:36
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 56%No Sorry 44%
The model gave 56% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by No Sorry in 56:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingMunkushi~
50% · 279 games48% · 57 games
Lifestealerlayme
Lifestealer
Phoenix
PhoenixHellscream
49% · 172 games46% · 127 games
TinyWorick
Tiny
Slardar
SlardarCorrupted
58% · 71 game50% · 222 games
MarsLastHero-
Mars
Jakiro
JakirosmN
37% · 62 games51% · 52 games
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
Keeper of the Light
60% · 126 games
Miranay0nd
Mirana
Game 2prediction missed25:38
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 60%No Sorry 40%
The model gave 60% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by No Sorry in 40:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidMunkushi~
60% · 165 games38% · 82 games
Morphlinglayme
Morphling
Sand King
Sand KingCorrupted
53% · 379 games45% · 283 games
MarsLastHero-
Mars
Phoenix
PhoenixHellscream
50% · 169 games45% · 225 games
TinyWorick
Tiny
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernsmN
61% · 164 games44% · 189 games
Hoodwinky0nd
Hoodwink
48% · 98 games
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
Keeper of the Light
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 62%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2