BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Happy Sealsloss 0:1series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Infinity Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Happy Seals
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Marssignature
Valquiria · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
Treant Protector
Nuages · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 8 games
Bane
Nuages · 7 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 281 bans
Mars
449 picks · 611 bans
Tiny
410 picks · 478 bans
Sand King
372 picks · 495 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 516 bans
Storm Spirit
322 picks · 494 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 468 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Happy Seals
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 78%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:1
Series predictioncorrect