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BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 1:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Infinity Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team DogChamp

Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 11 games
36%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
43%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
29%

Infinity Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Valquiria · 14 games
64%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 13 games
46%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 11 games
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 10 games
20%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 9 games
44%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Nuages · 7 games
29%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Benny · 7 games
14%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
456 picks · 282 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
442 picks · 603 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 474 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
366 picks · 484 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
357 picks · 770 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 512 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
317 picks · 477 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
310 picks · 456 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Team DogChamp
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:51
Team DogChamp 35%Infinity Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 32:07.
Game 2prediction missed17:47
Team DogChamp 35%Infinity Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 37:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 65%
Accuracy by game1 of 2