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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Liquidwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 42 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 32 games
59%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 27 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 22 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
67%

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 45 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 30 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 28 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Ace · 27 games
78%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ace · 26 games
62%
Puck
Pucksignature
Nisha · 26 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
miCKe · 25 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
582 picks · 838 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
513 picks · 540 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
436 picks · 397 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
426 picks · 294 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
392 picks · 1019 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
385 picks · 656 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
373 picks · 577 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
351 picks · 527 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head6 – 5
Model total75% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:23
BETBOOM TEAM 38%Team Liquid 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:16:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendKiritych
57% · 300 games52% · 279 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Invoker
InvokergpK~
52% · 140 games47% · 563 games
TinyNisha
Tiny
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
55% · 414 games44% · 218 games
UnderlordAce
Underlord
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
54% · 406 games45% · 622 games
WarlocktOfu
Warlock
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
49% · 657 games43% · 235 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed35:32
BETBOOM TEAM 35%Team Liquid 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:23:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
52% · 141 game57% · 52 games
TinkerNisha
Tinker
Invoker
InvokergpK~
50% · 142 games52% · 368 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Slardar
SlardarMieRo
55% · 351 game49% · 142 games
Monkey KingmiCKe
Monkey King
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
44% · 374 games52% · 618 games
JakirotOfu
Jakiro
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
48% · 615 games45% · 443 games
TinyBoxi
Tiny
Game 3prediction correct33:37
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Team Liquid 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:06:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKiritych
52% · 299 games47% · 389 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
54% · 515 games55% · 77 games
KezmiCKe
Kez
Brewmaster
BrewmasterMieRo
48% · 168 games49% · 164 games
UnderlordAce
Underlord
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
53% · 423 games46% · 356 games
WarlocktOfu
Warlock
Oracle
OracleKataomi
60% · 49 games41% · 468 games
TuskBoxi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 75%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3