Gamers Without Borders 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EHOMEloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
EHOME
Bane
zzq · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 15 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 14 games
Rubick
pLAnet · 12 games
Sand Kingsignature
zeal · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
7e · 8 games
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
shiro · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 277 bans
Mars
437 picks · 598 bans
Tiny
404 picks · 471 bans
Sand King
356 picks · 482 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 769 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 503 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 463 bans
Pangolier
305 picks · 449 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 39%
Hero pool strength51% EHOME
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total65% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:27
Royal Never Give Up 65%EHOME 35%
The model gave 65% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by EHOME in 36:44.
Game 2prediction missed39:20
Royal Never Give Up 65%EHOME 35%
The model gave 65% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by EHOME in 37:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 65%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2