BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilgunloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 277 bans
Mars
438 picks · 596 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 471 bans
Sand King
354 picks · 482 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 770 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 503 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 462 bans
Pangolier
304 picks · 449 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:9
Nigma Galaxy SEA 65%Lilgun 35%
The model gave 65% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Lilgun in 38:18.
Game 2prediction missed15:41
Nigma Galaxy SEA 65%Lilgun 35%
The model gave 65% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Lilgun in 32:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 65%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2