BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
RSGwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
RSG
No games played over 6 months.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
Bane
boombell · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 7 games
Weaveroften banned
Q · 7 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 6 games
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 277 bans
Mars
439 picks · 596 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 471 bans
Sand King
354 picks · 482 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 770 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 503 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 462 bans
Pangolier
304 picks · 449 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 22%
Hero pool strength55% RSG
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% RSG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRSG · 59%
Series resultRSG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect