BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Marssignature
Sunlight · 8 games
Hoodwink
The Warden · 7 games
Lunasignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Storm Spiritsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Sunlight · 5 games
Grimstroke
The Warden · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ark · 5 games
Team DogChamp
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 11 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 277 bans
Mars
439 picks · 595 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 471 bans
Sand King
354 picks · 482 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 767 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 501 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 459 bans
Pangolier
302 picks · 448 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 17%
Hero pool strength60% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total70% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 70%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect