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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 42 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
60%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 31 game
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 27 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 22 games
77%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 21 game
48%

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 37 games
76%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 37 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 28 games
61%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 23 games
78%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 23 games
70%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
589 picks · 850 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
510 picks · 539 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
441 picks · 401 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
431 picks · 297 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
397 picks · 1030 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 664 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
378 picks · 581 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
356 picks · 538 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Team Yandex
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total50% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:32
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Team Yandex 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:00:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
48% · 420 games51% · 258 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Huskar
HuskargpK~
57% · 117 games49% · 462 games
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
Storm Spirit
Slardar
SlardarMieRo
53% · 322 games51% · 217 games
UnderlordDM
Underlord
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
51% · 435 games47% · 545 games
TinySaksa
Tiny
Tusk
TuskKataomi
45% · 669 games48% · 481 game
WarlockMalady
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct9:37
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Team Yandex 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 47:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendKiritych
52% · 281 game48% · 246 games
WindrangerWatson
Windranger
Bristleback
BristlebackMieRo
48% · 255 games59% · 73 games
ViperChira JUNIOR
Viper
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
46% · 477 games52% · 358 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Marci
MarciKataomi
54% · 259 games47% · 573 games
TuskMalady
Tusk
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
43% · 284 games52% · 306 games
Shadow DemonSaksa
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 50%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2