BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
nounswin 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Happy Sealsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Pugnaoften banned
ZfreeK · 2 games
Bane
Husky · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Chenoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moo · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Gunnar · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
ZfreeK · 1 game
Hoodwink
ZfreeK · 1 game
Happy Seals
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 277 bans
Mars
439 picks · 595 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 471 bans
Sand King
354 picks · 482 bans
Death Prophet
352 picks · 767 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 501 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 459 bans
Pangolier
302 picks · 448 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% Happy Seals
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 68%
Series resultnouns 2:0
Series predictioncorrect