Gamers Without Borders 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:1series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 16 games
Weaversignature
Tims · 16 games
Banesignature
Skem · 15 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Death Prophetsignature
Skem · 13 games
Marssignature
Fbz · 13 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 12 games
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 274 bans
Mars
437 picks · 592 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 470 bans
Sand King
354 picks · 474 bans
Death Prophet
350 picks · 763 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 496 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 450 bans
Pangolier
297 picks · 445 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 55%
Hero pool strength69% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:45
BOOM Esports 75%Royal Never Give Up 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 1:01:05.
Game 2prediction missed21:29
BOOM Esports 75%Royal Never Give Up 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up in 58:08.
Game 3prediction correct
BOOM Esports 75%Royal Never Give Up 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 75%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3