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Gamers Without Borders 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Mirana
Miranasignature
Boxi · 12 games
92%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
miCKe · 10 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
zai · 10 games
40%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Boxi · 10 games
50%
Bane
Banesignature
iNSaNiA · 8 games
88%
Luna
Lunasignature
MATUMBAMAN · 8 games
75%
Io
Iooften banned
iNSaNiA · 7 games
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
miCKe · 7 games
71%

Gaimin Gladiators

Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 19 games
68%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 19 games
74%
Weaver
Weaversignature
tOfu · 19 games
63%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 17 games
71%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 17 games
65%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 15 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
456 picks · 275 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
434 picks · 590 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 468 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
352 picks · 470 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
350 picks · 763 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 491 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
306 picks · 442 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
295 picks · 442 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 68%
Hero pool strength52% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total66% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:10
Team Liquid 42%Gaimin Gladiators 58%
The model gave 58% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 29:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaMATUMBAMAN
58% · 141 game36% · 32 games
Sniperdyrachyo
Sniper
Mars
Marszai
52% · 278 games40% · 51 game
UnderlordAce
Underlord
Rubick
RubickmiCKe
59% · 103 games44% · 271 game
Sand KingBOOM
Sand King
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonBoxi
57% · 114 games50% · 35 games
ChenSeleri
Chen
Undying
UndyingiNSaNiA
51% · 50 games48% · 297 games
GrimstroketOfu
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction missed28:16
Team Liquid 42%Gaimin Gladiators 58%
The model gave 58% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 38:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainmiCKe
47% · 165 games48% · 296 games
LinaBOOM
Lina
Razor
RazorMATUMBAMAN
57% · 111 games50% · 157 games
Bloodseekerdyrachyo
Bloodseeker
Pangolier
Pangolierzai
46% · 220 games50% · 62 games
Chaos KnightAce
Chaos Knight
Phoenix
PhoenixBoxi
50% · 98 games52% · 35 games
ChenSeleri
Chen
Io
IoiNSaNiA
48% · 120 games54% · 164 games
Shadow DemontOfu
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 66%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2