Gamers Without Borders 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EHOMEwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
EHOME
Bane
zzq · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 15 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 13 games
Rubick
pLAnet · 12 games
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
shiro · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
7e · 7 games
Morphlingoften banned
shiro · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
457 picks · 274 bans
Mars
434 picks · 590 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 468 bans
Death Prophet
349 picks · 761 bans
Sand King
348 picks · 469 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 488 bans
Storm Spirit
304 picks · 439 bans
Pangolier
294 picks · 441 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 35%
Hero pool strength50% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:30
Nigma Galaxy SEA 60%EHOME 40%
The model gave 60% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by EHOME in 37:28.
Game 2prediction missed31:7
Nigma Galaxy SEA 60%EHOME 40%
The model gave 60% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by EHOME in 24:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 60%
Series resultEHOME 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2