?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:1
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
No Sorrywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Mirana
Mirana
OmaR · 3 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 2 games
100%
Io
Iooften banned
Eixn · 2 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
OmaR · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
No!ob · 2 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Eixn · 2 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Eixn · 1 game
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 1 game
100%

No Sorry

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
layme · 18 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 16 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 16 games
38%
Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 15 games
47%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 15 games
40%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 15 games
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 13 games
38%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
457 picks · 274 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
434 picks · 590 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
402 picks · 468 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
349 picks · 761 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
348 picks · 469 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 488 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
304 picks · 439 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
294 picks · 441 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
PSG Quest 32%No Sorry 68%
The model gave 68% on No Sorry — the game was taken by No Sorry.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 68%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1