Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
CHILLAXloss 0:2series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
YNT
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 8 games
Bane
dSa · 7 games
Grimstroke
jesv · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
453 picks · 274 bans
Mars
432 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 465 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 750 bans
Sand King
340 picks · 463 bans
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 483 bans
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 430 bans
Pangolier
291 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 28%
Hero pool strength55% CHILLAX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:24
CHILLAX 78%YNT 22%
The model gave 78% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by YNT in 32:51.
Game 2prediction missed28:52
CHILLAX 78%YNT 22%
The model gave 78% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by YNT in 41:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 78%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2