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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 1:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 7 games
43%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 7 games
29%
Bane
Banesignature
dSa · 6 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
50%

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
443 picks · 276 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
430 picks · 577 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
389 picks · 458 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
348 picks · 741 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
328 picks · 455 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 473 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 422 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
285 picks · 430 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:6
YNT 21%Rune Eaters 79%
The model gave 79% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by YNT in 27:13.
Game 2prediction correct11:46
YNT 21%Rune Eaters 79%
The model gave 79% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 38:41.
Game 3prediction correct19:35
YNT 21%Rune Eaters 79%
The model gave 79% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 33:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 79%
Series resultRune Eaters 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3