BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportsloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Polaris Esports
Pangoliersignature
Force · 16 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 11 games
Grimstrokesignature
Boomy · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Mac · 10 games
Lionsignature
cml · 10 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Boomy · 10 games
Snapfiresignature
cml · 10 games
Army Geniuses
Pangoliersignature
woMy · 11 games
Grimstroke
Varizh · 8 games
Gyrocopter
Varizh · 8 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 8 games
Weaversignature
Varizh · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
db- · 7 games
Snapfire
Lym- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 276 bans
Mars
430 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 458 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 741 bans
Sand King
328 picks · 455 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 473 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 422 bans
Pangolier
285 picks · 430 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total66% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 66%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictionmissed