?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
RSGloss 0:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

RSG

No games played over 6 months.

Execration

Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 16 games
25%
Bane
Bane
RR · 14 games
36%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
RR · 11 games
27%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
RR · 9 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bob · 8 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 8 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Bob · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
439 picks · 276 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
426 picks · 573 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
389 picks · 453 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
346 picks · 736 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
328 picks · 449 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 470 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
284 picks · 428 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
284 picks · 419 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% RSG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% RSG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRSG · 63%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed