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BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
RSGloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

RSG

No games played over 6 months.

Army Geniuses

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
woMy · 11 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Varizh · 8 games
38%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Varizh · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Lym- · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 8 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 8 games
50%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Varizh · 8 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 273 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
424 picks · 566 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
383 picks · 447 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
348 picks · 724 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
322 picks · 441 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 466 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
283 picks · 422 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
273 picks · 417 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% RSG
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% RSG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRSG · 57%