BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Army Geniuseswin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Army Geniuses
Pangoliersignature
woMy · 11 games
Grimstroke
Varizh · 8 games
Gyrocopter
Varizh · 8 games
Snapfire
Lym- · 8 games
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 8 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 8 games
Weaversignature
Varizh · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 7 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
Bane
boombell · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 7 games
Weaveroften banned
Q · 7 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 6 games
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
434 picks · 273 bans
Mars
424 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 447 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 724 bans
Sand King
322 picks · 441 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
283 picks · 422 bans
Storm Spirit
273 picks · 417 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 25%
Hero pool strength54% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total53% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 53%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 2:0
Series predictioncorrect