Gamers Without Borders 2022. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Wisla Krakowloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 19 games
Banesignature
tOfu · 18 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 18 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 17 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
Iosignature
Seleri · 14 games
Marssignature
BOOM · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 12 games
Wisla Krakow
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
435 picks · 273 bans
Mars
423 picks · 565 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 445 bans
Death Prophet
347 picks · 722 bans
Sand King
321 picks · 439 bans
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
282 picks · 422 bans
Storm Spirit
273 picks · 415 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 56%
Hero pool strength59% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:5
Gaimin Gladiators 92%Wisla Krakow 8%
The model gave 92% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 21:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 92%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1