Gamers Without Borders 2022. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Atlantisloss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
UD Vessuwanwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
UD Vessuwan
Kunkkaoften banned
inYourdreaM · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 13 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Poloson · 12 games
Snapfire
Poloson · 12 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 11 games
Weaveroften banned
Jhocam · 11 games
Lionsignature
Poloson · 10 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
434 picks · 272 bans
Mars
426 picks · 561 bans
Tiny
382 picks · 444 bans
Death Prophet
346 picks · 721 bans
Sand King
319 picks · 436 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 464 bans
Pangolier
280 picks · 420 bans
Storm Spirit
272 picks · 415 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% Atlantis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 54%
Series resultUD Vessuwan 1:2
Series predictionmissed