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BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
RSGloss 1:1
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

RSG

No games played over 6 months.

Neon Esports

Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Enryu · 18 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
MamangDaya · 15 games
53%
Lion
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 14 games
64%
Weaver
Weaversignature
NARMAN · 13 games
62%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Enryu · 12 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 12 games
42%
Doom
Doom
Enryu · 11 games
45%
Mirana
Mirana
NARMAN · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
437 picks · 272 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
427 picks · 562 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
382 picks · 444 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
346 picks · 721 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
319 picks · 436 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 464 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
280 picks · 420 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
272 picks · 415 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 20%
Hero pool strength52% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% RSG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRSG · 75%