?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Army Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

No games played over 6 months.

Army Geniuses

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
woMy · 11 games
64%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Varizh · 8 games
38%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Varizh · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Lym- · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
woMy · 8 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 8 games
50%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Varizh · 8 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Azur4 · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
437 picks · 272 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
427 picks · 562 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
382 picks · 444 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
346 picks · 721 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
319 picks · 436 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 464 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
280 picks · 420 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
272 picks · 415 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total58% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 58%