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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Natus Vincereloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 11 games
64%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
82%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Lina
Linasignature
fn · 8 games
63%

Natus Vincere

Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
GeneRaL · 14 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
ALOHADANCE · 13 games
54%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Solo · 12 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
No[o]ne · 11 games
27%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
ALOHADANCE · 11 games
55%
Puck
Puckoften banned
No[o]ne · 9 games
56%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
V-Tune · 9 games
44%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Solo · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
430 picks · 273 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
418 picks · 561 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
377 picks · 438 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
344 picks · 713 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
312 picks · 459 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
312 picks · 429 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
274 picks · 412 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
268 picks · 409 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:25
BETBOOM TEAM 79%Natus Vincere 21%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 44:33.
Game 2prediction correct32:14
BETBOOM TEAM 79%Natus Vincere 21%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:03.
Game 3prediction correct24:17
BETBOOM TEAM 79%Natus Vincere 21%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 79%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3