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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 0:2
series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dominic · 7 games
14%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 7 games
29%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 5 games
60%

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 10 games
80%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 8 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 6 games
83%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Munkushi~ · 5 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Hellscream · 5 games
80%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Hellscream · 5 games
80%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 5 games
60%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Corrupted · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
428 picks · 271 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
412 picks · 552 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
371 picks · 434 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
344 picks · 705 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
308 picks · 413 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
307 picks · 455 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
271 picks · 401 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
260 picks · 405 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 64%
Hero pool strength65% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:17
YNT 19%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 81%
The model gave 81% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 41:13.
Game 2prediction correct42:38
YNT 19%KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 81%
The model gave 81% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 42:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 81%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2