Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO1
result vs prediction
iG Vitalityloss 0:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ybb Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 10 games
Banesignature
QYQX · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Dogf1ghts · 7 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 7 games
Razoroften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Dark Willow
QYQX · 5 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
426 picks · 272 bans
Mars
412 picks · 549 bans
Tiny
370 picks · 428 bans
Death Prophet
342 picks · 702 bans
Ember Spirit
306 picks · 449 bans
Sand King
305 picks · 409 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 396 bans
Weaver
261 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 27%
Hero pool strength54% Ybb Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% iG Vitality
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:44
iG Vitality 52%Ybb Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 50:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteiG Vitality · 52%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1