Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
CHILLAXloss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Rune Eaters
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 5 games
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
426 picks · 271 bans
Mars
412 picks · 547 bans
Tiny
369 picks · 427 bans
Death Prophet
341 picks · 701 bans
Ember Spirit
306 picks · 449 bans
Sand King
304 picks · 408 bans
Pangolier
269 picks · 396 bans
Weaver
260 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total62% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:17
CHILLAX 62%Rune Eaters 38%
The model gave 62% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 32:47.
Game 2prediction missed37:28
CHILLAX 62%Rune Eaters 38%
The model gave 62% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 49:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 62%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2