Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO1
result vs prediction
Omega Gamingloss 0:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Dreamerswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Gaming
Marssignature
Lissex · 11 games
Dawnbreakersignature
CHAAANNN · 8 games
Hoodwinksignature
Demon · 8 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Demon · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Demon · 7 games
Medusasignature
Mingatte · 6 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Jeimari · 6 games
Mirana
Demon · 5 games
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
432 picks · 270 bans
Mars
414 picks · 546 bans
Tiny
365 picks · 421 bans
Death Prophet
339 picks · 692 bans
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 445 bans
Sand King
299 picks · 401 bans
Weaver
266 picks · 318 bans
Pangolier
264 picks · 395 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 51%
Series resultDreamers 0:1
Series predictionmissed