Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CHILLAXloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
437 picks · 264 bans
Mars
405 picks · 546 bans
Tiny
356 picks · 413 bans
Death Prophet
335 picks · 677 bans
Ember Spirit
300 picks · 437 bans
Sand King
298 picks · 386 bans
Weaver
270 picks · 326 bans
Pangolier
256 picks · 388 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total65% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:20
Gambit Esports 65%CHILLAX 35%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 27:49.
Game 2prediction missed12:31
Gambit Esports 65%CHILLAX 35%
The model gave 65% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 41:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 65%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2