Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs predictionKCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CHILLAXwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Banesignature
smN · 8 games
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 6 games
Centaur Warrunner
Corrupted · 5 games
Dark Willow
Hellscream · 5 games
Treant Protector
smN · 5 games
Axeoften banned
Corrupted · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Munkushi~ · 4 games
Rikioften banned
Hellscream · 4 games
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
437 picks · 262 bans
Mars
405 picks · 546 bans
Tiny
353 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
335 picks · 672 bans
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 437 bans
Sand King
294 picks · 385 bans
Weaver
271 picks · 328 bans
Pangolier
256 picks · 385 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 61%
Hero pool strength58% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:31
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 47%CHILLAX 53%
The model gave 53% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 43:50.
Game 2prediction correct13:29
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 47%CHILLAX 53%
The model gave 53% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 31:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 53%
Series resultCHILLAX 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2