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CCT Season 2 Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spirit Academyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 45 games
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 37 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 37 games
46%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 36 games
69%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 33 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
erase · 32 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 31 game
48%

Team Spirit Academy

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 17 games
24%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
rubikon155 · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
kyford · 13 games
31%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
kyford · 12 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
SunshineRR · 12 games
17%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Aidar · 12 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
kyford · 11 games
27%
Techies
Techies
Aidar · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
600 picks · 883 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
491 picks · 524 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
461 picks · 416 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
438 picks · 300 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
410 picks · 1043 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 668 bans
60%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 578 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
379 picks · 566 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 37%
Hero pool strength64% HULIGANI
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total83% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:21
HULIGANI 71%Team Spirit Academy 29%
The model gave 71% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 42:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerssnovv1
53% · 162 games49% · 166 games
Morphlinghairo
Morphling
Puck
PuckMirage
50% · 379 games46% · 125 games
Brewmasterkae
Brewmaster
Tidehunter
TidehunterCorrupted
52% · 271 game48% · 468 games
Tiny86
Tiny
Disruptor
DisruptorRESPECT
48% · 290 games49% · 84 games
Nyx AssassinAidar
Nyx Assassin
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsayuw
55% · 356 games51% · 615 games
Jakirokyford
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct25:27
HULIGANI 71%Team Spirit Academy 29%
The model gave 71% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinssnovv1
50% · 235 games57% · 107 games
Clinkzhairo
Clinkz
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
47% · 313 games51% · 266 games
Bristlebackkae
Bristleback
Largo
LargoCorrupted
49% · 89 games52% · 225 games
Timbersaw86
Timbersaw
Phoenix
PhoenixRESPECT
46% · 168 games53% · 311 games
Shadow DemonAidar
Shadow Demon
Tiny
Tinysayuw
45% · 402 games51% · 298 games
Disruptorkyford
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 83%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2