Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
No Sorrywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
No Sorry
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 13 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 13 games
Tinyoften banned
Dinozavrik · 13 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 12 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 10 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 9 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
440 picks · 266 bans
Mars
402 picks · 554 bans
Tiny
348 picks · 406 bans
Death Prophet
331 picks · 667 bans
Ember Spirit
297 picks · 433 bans
Sand King
291 picks · 380 bans
Weaver
280 picks · 333 bans
Templar Assassin
255 picks · 550 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:22
AS Monaco Gambit 54%No Sorry 46%
The model gave 54% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by No Sorry in 40:25.
Game 2prediction missed31:13
AS Monaco Gambit 54%No Sorry 46%
The model gave 54% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by No Sorry in 34:57.
Game 3prediction missed39:28
AS Monaco Gambit 54%No Sorry 46%
The model gave 54% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by No Sorry in 47:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 54%
Series resultNo Sorry 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3