Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
Banesignature
Bignum · 10 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
Hoodwinksignature
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
Kunkkasignature
Petushara · 8 games
Linasignature
fn · 8 games
Weaversignature
Bignum · 8 games
No Sorry
Tinyoften banned
layme · 13 games
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 12 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 11 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 10 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 9 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 8 games
Slardaroften banned
LastHero- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
452 picks · 262 bans
Mars
401 picks · 554 bans
Tiny
333 picks · 379 bans
Death Prophet
329 picks · 644 bans
Weaver
293 picks · 361 bans
Ember Spirit
287 picks · 418 bans
Sand King
279 picks · 344 bans
Templar Assassin
263 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength61% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:8
BETBOOM TEAM 54%No Sorry 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:39.
Game 2prediction correct32:14
BETBOOM TEAM 54%No Sorry 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 54%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2