Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ybb Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
448 picks · 266 bans
Mars
405 picks · 553 bans
Tiny
329 picks · 379 bans
Death Prophet
326 picks · 644 bans
Weaver
296 picks · 366 bans
Ember Spirit
287 picks · 418 bans
Sand King
273 picks · 343 bans
Queen of Pain
263 picks · 435 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 79%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect