Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
iG Vitalityloss 1:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 9 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Dogf1ghts · 7 games
Banesignature
QYQX · 6 games
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 6 games
Dark Willow
QYQX · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Dandelion Esport Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
448 picks · 267 bans
Mars
405 picks · 554 bans
Death Prophet
324 picks · 639 bans
Tiny
324 picks · 375 bans
Weaver
301 picks · 374 bans
Ember Spirit
285 picks · 417 bans
Sand King
271 picks · 338 bans
Queen of Pain
268 picks · 439 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 82%
Hero pool strength55% Dandelion Esport Club
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total83% Dandelion Esport Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:8
iG Vitality 17%Dandelion Esport Club 83%
The model gave 83% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 27:08.
Game 2prediction correct22:46
iG Vitality 17%Dandelion Esport Club 83%
The model gave 83% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 57:45.
Game 3prediction correct14:25
iG Vitality 17%Dandelion Esport Club 83%
The model gave 83% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 37:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelion Esport Club · 83%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3